Even as the Shiv Sena continues to sulk, political rumblings in Maharashtra carry a discerning message for the BJP’s allies in Punjab and other states
By Ramesh Ramachandran in New Delhi and Prateek Goyal in Mumbai
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| Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis with Governor Vidyasagar Rao |
Fadnavis returned home to a hero’s welcome in Nagpur and
offered prayers at the Ganesh Tekdi temple before beginning a new political
innings as the chief minister of the richest state in the country. Thackeray,
meanwhile, held a show of strength with all 63 of his MLAs at the Ekvira Devi
temple in Lonavala near Pune. His father, the late Bal Thackeray, had paid a
similar visit to the temple after the Sena-BJP coalition formed its first
government in the state in 1995.
Whether Uddhav’s visit was a precursor to his party
eventually joining the Fadnavis government was hotly contested but his cryptic
message on the occasion left some political commentators mystified. “Today,”
Thackeray said, “I have come to Ekvira Devi’s shrine with 63 MLAs but very soon
I will come here with more than 180 MLAs.”
At the time of going to the press, Fadnavis was confident of
winning a trust vote on the floor of the Assembly, scheduled most likely on 12
November. However, he left open the possibility of expanding his Council of Ministers
to include the Shiv Sena’s nominees following the trust vote. For its part, the
Sena kept up the pressure on the BJP and was looking to extract maximum
concessions from the latter. Given their ideological affinities, and a
25-year-long history of partnership, a coalition of compulsion between the BJP
and the Shiv Sena is eminently plausible but neither party wants the
compulsions of running a coalition to cramp its space.
Clearly, the rules of engagement are being rewritten as the
BJP, under its president Amit Shah and Prime Minister Narendra Modi, charts a
radically different course from the yesteryears. Fadnavis has made it amply
clear that Modi wants him (Fadnavis) to pursue a development-oriented ageNDA
and not worry about saving his government.
Fault lines are already emerging: The Shiv Sena favours a
united Maharashtra, whereas the BJP is not opposed to carving out a new state
of Vidarbha from Maharashtra. (Incidentally, Fadnavis hails from Nagpur in the
Vidarbha region.) The Sena criticised Fadnavis for making a statement about
Vidarbha during his grand welcome at Nagpur. The party’s mouthpiece Saamana
suggested that carving out Vidarbha from Maharashtra is like separating a son
from the mother. Another sticking point is the allocation of portfolios in the
new state Cabinet.
For the record, Anant Geete, Shiv Sena’s lone nominee in
Prime Minister Modi’s council of ministers, continues to retain his portfolio
of the Union Ministry of Heavy Industries and Public Enterprises. It is an
indicator that the Sena-BJP ties have not reached breaking point. Another sign
of the shape of things to come was the possibility of an expansion of the Union
Cabinet to accommodate new ministers, not only from the BJP but also from the
Shiv Sena. Suresh Prabhu, a senior Shiv Sena leader who held the portfolios of
power, environment and industries in the Atal Bihari Vajpayee government, is
being seen as an likely addition. Prabhu is currently serving as the Prime
Minister’s Sherpa for the G-20 Summit. The Cabinet expansion was expected to
take place before the Maharashtra Assembly met on 10 November.
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| Shiv Sena chief Uddhav Thackeray with (from left) BJP's Maharashtra election in-charge Om Mathur, Maharashtra Chief Minister Devendra Fadvanis, BJP National President Amit Shah and Maharashtra Education Minister Vinod Tawde (Pic courtesy: Deepak Salvi) |
Bridging the gap
The first signs of a thaw became visible when Uddhav
attended Fadnavis’ swearing in ceremony at Mumbai’s Wankhede Stadium on 31
October. In the days leading up to the ceremony, the Sena had dropped hints
that it might skip the function, miffed as it was at the BJP’s attitude towards
it. It was only after Amit Shah and a clutch of other BJP leaders personally
spoke to Thackeray over the telephone that the latter relented. In spite of the
NCP’s offer of unconditional support to the Fadnavis government, sources in the
BJP insist that they want the Sena onboard. Turning to the NCP could raise
uncomfortable questions for the BJP at a time when some NCP leaders are facing
charges of corruption. Former deputy chief minister Ajit Pawar, NCP state
president Sunil Tatkare and former PWD minister Chhagan Bhujbal have cases of
corruption registered against them. In fact, the Maharashtra Anti-Corruption Bureau
has proposed an open inquiry against the three (Pawar and Tatkare with regard
to an irrigation scam and Bhujbal in the ‘Maharashtra Sadan’ controversy).
Talks between the two allies are said to revolve around a
formula where the new government could comprise 32 ministerial berths out of
which 20 would remain with the BJP, 10 would go to the Shiv Sena and the
remainder could be devolved to alliance partners, from among the Swabhimani
Shetkari Sanghatana, Rashtriya Samaj Paksh, Shiv Sangram and the Republican
Party of India (Athawale faction). For its part, the Sena is also eyeing the
posts of the deputy chief minister and the Speaker of the Maharashtra Assembly.
BJP spokesperson Madhav Bhandari says, “Nothing has been
decided about sharing of ministerial berths yet. We will make it public once it
is decided. We are still to decide on alliance partners. The core committee of
the Maharashtra BJP and the central parliamentary board will take a decision in
this regard together.” Bhandari amplified it by saying that while the
Swabhimani Shetkari Sanghatana, Rashtriya Samaj Paksh, Shiv Sangram and the
Republican Party of India (A) were a “part and parcel” of the BJP alliance in
the state, a decision on adding “new friends” was pending.
If the BJP and the Shiv Sena chose to be circumspect, the
RSS was optimistic of the Sena joining the government in the state. “The two
parties are natural partners and will definitely come together to form a
government. Who is elder and who is younger doesn’t matter. What matters is
that both are brothers, and in coming days, everything will be sorted out,”
says Madhav Govind Vaidya, a senior RSS ideologue. He adds, “There is nothing
wrong in [the Sena’s] demand,” citing the 1995 precedent, when the Sena kept
the chief minister’s post and the BJP got the deputy CM’s post, to suggest that
today when the BJP occupies the CM’s post, the deputy CM’s post could go to the
Sena.
An uneasy coalition
While the BJP’s wins in the Maharashtra and the Haryana
Assembly polls have come as a shot in the arm for the Modi-Shah duo, the manner
in which those victories were achieved have come in for scrutiny by the RSS.
The blurring of lines between the party, represented by
Shah, and the government, headed by Modi, has caused concern among some in the
RSS. While the dissonance has come in handy for some of Modi’s detractors
within the party and the government, who feel suffocated by his autocratic
style of functioning, a section of the RSS fears that the BJP’s ideological
moorings could get diluted, or worse, compromised, if the current leadership
continues to enjoy runaway freedoms or if the delicate balance of power
between the party and government on the one hand, and the government and the
RSS, on the other hand is upset.This has implications for regional parties in
general and the BJP’s allies in the NDA in particular. There is already a view
that riding on the Modi wave, the BJP could ride roughshod over smaller
regional parties in states that will go to polls in the next few years. Rumblings
of discontent are being heard from a section of the BJP cadres in Punjab, where
Assembly elections will be held in 2017.
Just as the BJP and the Shiv Sena traded accusations during
the Maharashtra election, in Haryana, the BJP trained its guns on the alliance
between the Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) and the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD).
The BJP’s overtures to the Sirsa-based Dera Sacha Sauda led by Gurmeet Ram
Rahim before the Haryana elections could potentially change the dynamic of the
ruling BJP-SAD alliance in Punjab.
* * * * * * *
From Dharampeth to Malabar Hill
By Prateek Goyal
Forty-four year-old Devendra Fadnavis is
the new poster boy of the BJP in Maharashtra. This is the first time since its
inception in April 1980, in Mumbai, that the party has laid claim to the chief
minister’s chair. With Amit Shah at the helm of the party’s affairs and
Fadnavis as its president in Maharashtra, the BJP bagged more than 100 seats —
a feat never achieved by a single party since 1995. Fadnavis is the second
youngest chief minister of the state after ncp chief Sharad Pawar, who was 38
when he became the chief minister in 1978. His father Gangadhar Rao Fadnavis
was a Jan Sangh leader and a BJP mlc from Nagpur.
Fadnavis started his political career as a member of the
Akhil Bharatiya Vidyarthi Parishad (ABVP) in 1989 and strengthened his
political base by attending RSS shakhas in Nagpur. Fadnavis got his first
public position at the age of 22 when he was elected as a corporator in the
Nagpur Municipal Corporation. After his re-election, he became the youngest
mayor of the corporation at the age of 27. There has been no looking back for
the boy from Dharampeth after that. He won his first Assembly election in 1999
from the Nagpur (West) constituency and has contested and won on three
occasions from the Nagpur (South West) constituency before making his way to
Varsha — the chief minister’s official residence at the Malabar Hill in Mumbai.
Fadnavis is a law graduate from the Nagpur University and is
a known orator. He is known to have a clean image and an understanding of
government and budgetary processes. Though soft-spoken, he is known for his
fiery interventions in the Assembly. He had taken on the former Congress-NCP
coalition government for various scams (Adarsh, irrigation, etc). He rose to
prominence after he was made the state BJP president in 2013. He was close to
the late BJP leader Gopinath Munde.
Yadu Joshi, the president of the Maharashtra Union of
Working Journalists and a childhood friend of Fadnavis, recalls him as a
firebrand leader, who would organise protests in support of the
underprivileged. “I remember one protest Devendra had organised for demanding
land rights for slum dwellers of Kamgar Nagar and Tukdoji Nagar in Nagpur. He
raised the issue in the Assembly, too, and eventually succeeded in getting
those people their rights,” Joshi says. “He was instrumental in getting
scholarships for obc students. He has followers across all sections of society
and has friends across party lines.”
Pravin Datke, the mayor of Nagpur, worked with Fadnavis
during their time in the Bharatiya Janata Yuva Morcha in Nagpur. Datke says,
“He is a humble man. He is where he is today because of his hard work. He has
exposed various scams. Some people may think that there is a rift between Nitin
Gadkari and him but he has always considered Gadkari as his leader.”
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