Can Modi and Obama put the fizz back in the India-US relationship? Asks Ramesh Ramachandran
The year was 1993. Three young men reached New Delhi to
catch a midnight flight to the United States. Since they had time on their
hands, they caught up with each other at the designated time before proceeding
together to their destination in Lutyens’ Delhi for a meeting with a senior
colleague. Their appointment was for 11 am. The host, an elderly gentleman,
enquired about their well-being before launching himself into a tutorial on
manners, etiquette and protocol. “Dress smart and get a shave. You would be
representing the country,” he said, almost father-like. So, in the evening, the
three men dutifully located a barber’s shop and did as ordered. That was how a
clean-shaven Narendra Damodardas Modi made his way to the US. The elderly
gentleman in question was LK Advani, who was then the Leader of the Opposition
in the Lok Sabha, while Modi’s two associates were Ananth Kumar and G Kishan
Reddy.
Modi might have deferred to Advani and shaved off his beard
(it has been the RSS pracharak-turned-prime minister’s constant companion for
decades now), but he would not relent on the dress code, choosing kurta-pyjama
over shirt and trousers. The BJP had nominated Modi, Kumar and Reddy for a US
government-sponsored exchange programme organised by the American Council of
Young Political Leaders. Modi and Kumar were then the BJP general secretaries
in charge Gujarat and Karnataka, respectively; Reddy was the secretary of the
Bharatiya Janata Yuva Morcha, the youth wing of the BJP.
Modi spent a month criss-crossing the US, travelling to
eight states and meeting with a diverse group of American lawmakers, governors
and mayors. His itinerary included a visit to a NASA facility, where he
interacted with some Indian scientists, and a series of meetings with the
Indian diaspora.
Little did he or America or, for that matter, much of India
know then that someone who posed for the camera (see photograph below) outside
the White House would, come 2014, be welcomed with a red carpet by its
occupant. This, after having treated him as persona non grata for close to a
decade.
On 18 March 2005, the US Department of State denied Modi a
diplomatic visa and also revoked his existing tourist/business visa. Modi had
planned to visit Florida to address a gathering of Indian-American hotel
owners, but the US government invoked the International Religious Freedom Act
(the only time it has been applied so far) among other legislations against him
after an organisation called the Coalition Against Genocide alleged that he had
violated certain religious freedoms.
Since then, Modi had become a veritable pariah for some in
the West; Asia, in contrast, was more hospitable to him. Modi visited China,
Japan and Israel as the Gujarat chief minister. The US has still not revoked
the ban (Modi became eligible for an A1 visa by virtue of being a head of
government).
Some US lawmakers such as Ed Royce, chairman of the House
Committee on Foreign Affairs, and Aaron Schock, both Republicans, have publicly
said that the US should have reversed the visa ban. Schock has even described
the ban as “a huge mistake”.
However, the controversy refuses to die down. Days before
Modi landed in the US, a New York court issued summons against him for his
alleged role in the 2002 Gujarat riots. The US has since made it known that not
only do heads of foreign governments enjoy immunity from American lawsuits but
they cannot be personally served or handed court summons. An Indian court has
since cleared Modi of complicity in the 2002 riots and today the world is
sitting up and taking notice of Modi, the prime minister. It would not be an
exaggeration to say that Modi used to be a four-letter word but not anymore.
Frequent Traveller
Modi is no stranger to America. After his 1993 tour, Modi
was to play an instrumental role again in 1999 in the wake of the Kargil
conflict when he was deputed to lobby with the US lawmakers for adopting a
resolution critical of Pakistan. The resolution threatened to cut off financial
aid to Pakistan if it did not withdraw its forces from the territory held by
India.
Modi’s travels are in stark contrast to that of Barack
Obama. The only time Obama visited India before becoming the US president was
in 1981. That year, as a 20-year-old student, he travelled first to Jakarta in
Indonesia to meet his mother and step-sister and then to Karachi in Pakistan
before rounding off his trip with a visit to Hyderabad in India.
The only other Indian connection to Obama then was his
college mate, Vinai Thummalapally, who served as the US ambassador to Belize
(the first Indian-American ambassador in US history) and is now the executive
director of SelectUSA, which was established under the US Department of
Commerce by Obama to showcase the US as the world’s premier business location
and attract FDI into the country.
Thummalapally visited India before Modi’s visit to the US;
he travelled to New Delhi, Hyderabad, Coimbatore, Bengaluru and Mumbai to meet
Indian business leaders. (Thummalapally and certain other Indian-Americans in
the Obama administration such as Nisha Biswal, Assistant Secretary of State for
South and Central Asian Affairs in the US State Department, and USAID Administrator
Rajiv Shah were among the guests invited to a dinner hosted by Obama at the
White House in honour of Modi.)
Some in the BJP and the RSS sought to project Modi’s talks
with Obama as any other bilateral meeting that an Indian prime minister holds
on the margins of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA). Put differently,
Modi travelled to the US primarily for participating in the UNGA debate, on the
sidelines of which he also held talks with Obama.
A competing view is that Modi travelled to the US after his
meetings with Shinzo Abe and Xi Jinping, which to some foreign policy analysts,
was by design. The message that Modi sought to send out was that the centre of
gravity was shifting to Asia, the power equations were changing and therefore
it makes sense for India to start a dialogue with Japan and China without
belittling the role of the US.
Over the next three decades, China and India are expected to
become the first and the third largest economies, respectively (the US would be
placed second). So, in terms of heft, these three countries would be more or
less at par and they would dominate global economy and politics for some time
to come.
Personal Chemistry
In many ways, Modi’s visit to the US will be an opportunity
for American officials, lawmakers and corporates to get to know him as well as
he does America. And it needs to begin with Obama.
“With Modi’s arrival in Washington, Obama has a rare second
chance to get India right after this country’s ties with New Delhi atrophied
over the past two years,” wrote Nicholas Burns, a professor at Harvard
University’s Kennedy School of Government and a former US undersecretary of
state for political affairs (2005-08) and lead US negotiator of the US-India
civil nuclear agreement, in The Washington Post. “A US-India renaissance would
bring the added benefit of clear bipartisan support at home. Bill Clinton began
the US effort to define a more practical foreign policy partnership with India
at the end of his time in office. George W Bush had great success in moulding
close security and counterterrorism connections to the Indian government. There
is a Republican-Democratic consensus in Washington that India can be one of our
central 21st-century partners. Now, it is time for Obama to make his mark with
India.”
Ashley Tellis, a senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment
for International Peace, a private thinktank based in Washington, believes that
“the quality of the personal relations between leaders makes a difference to
the way in which they conduct foreign policy. And especially among friendly
nations, such as the United States and India, relationships make a huge difference
to whether the outcomes of summits are prosaic or momentous”.
However, Obama does not have time on his side. According to
Lalit Mansingh, a former foreign secretary and a former Indian ambassador to
the US, Obama is fast becoming a lame-duck president, and even if the US wants
to, there is only a limited amount of support he can give to this partnership
in the remaining two years of his last term. “Modi is ascendant but Obama is
descendent,” cautions Mansingh.
With Modi at the helm, there is an opportunity for the US to
reboot its relationship with India. Unlike former prime minister Manmohan
Singh, whose instinct by virtue of having worked as a civil servant was to
preserve, Modi is a politician who seeks to transform. Tellis feels that one of
the primary tasks for Obama and Modi would be to rejuvenate the concept of
strategic partnership.
“Today, US policymakers across a wide spectrum are perplexed
by what the phrase ‘strategic partnership’ actually means (insofar as) India is
concerned,” says Tellis. “After an interregnum of desultory conversations,
Modi’s visit to Washington presents a great opportunity to reconsider this
issue. Beyond platitudes about democracy and common values, it is important
that both sides have an honest conversation about the kind of relationship they
seek and what it obligates mutually. Modi and Obama are both plain-speaking men
and should have no difficulty conducting the type of conversation their
predecessor governments once had. If they do so, the bilateral because it will
leave little room for exaggerated or misplaced expectations on either side.”
Dinner Diplomacy
By all indications Obama set out to do just that when he
greeted Modi with a “Kem Chho?” (how are you?) in Gujarati at the private
dinner he hosted for a select group of officials that comprised, among others,
Vice-President Joe Biden, Secretary of State John Kerry and National Security
Adviser Susan Rice on the US side and External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj,
National Security Adviser Ajit Doval and Foreign Secretary Sujatha Singh on the
Indian side. The host had taken great care with the menu, offering only
vegetarian dishes in deference to Modi, who was observing the Navratri fast.
The two seemed to have hit it off almost immediately given
the similarities in their respective election campaigns, their digital savvy,
the manner in which both leaders overcame odds to come to occupy the high
office and how they both transformed themselves from being the proverbial
outsider to the consummate insider. The two leaders issued a Vision Statement,
which was titled “Chalein Saath Saath: Forward Together We Go”. It said, among
other things, the following:
• “Through intense consultations, joint exercises, and
shared technology, our security cooperation will make the region and the world
safe and secure. Together, we will combat terrorist threats and keep our
homelands and citizens safe from attacks”;
• “We will prevent the spread of weapons of mass
destruction, and remain committed to reducing the salience of nuclear weapons,
while promoting universal, verifiable, and non-discriminatory nuclear
disarmament”;
• “We will partner to ensure that both countries have
affordable, clean, reliable and diverse sources of energy, including through
our efforts to bring American- origin nuclear power technologies to India”
• “We will support an open and inclusive rulesbased global
order, in which India assumes greater multilateral responsibility, including in
a reformed UN Security Council”;
• “The US and India commit to expand and deepen our
strategic partnership in order to harness the inherent potential of our two
democracies and the burgeoning ties between our people, economies, and
businesses. Together, we seek a reliable and enduring friendship that bolsters
security and stability, contributes to the global economy and advances peace
and prosperity for our citizens and throughout the world”; and
• “We have a vision that the US and India will have a
transformative relationship as trusted partners in the 21st century. Our
partnership will be a model for the rest of the world”
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| While paying homage to the victims of the 9/11 attacks in New York, Modi said India and the US were allies in the fight against terrorism |
Bilateral Talks
In an op-ed article jointly penned by Modi and Obama, which
was published by The Washington Post on the morning of 30 September before the
delegation-level talks got under way, they emphasised on the need to “set a new
agenda”. A relevant portion from the op-ed read: “With a reinvigorated level of
ambition and greater confidence, we can go beyond modest and conventional
goals.”
Both leaders got an opportunity to set out the contours of
that agenda when they jointly addressed the media soon after the conclusion of
their talks. Modi spoke about “shared interests” in furthering defence
relations and security dialogue with the US. Expectedly, the “framework for the
US-India defence relationship” was renewed for another 10 years. It was signed
in 2005 for a 10-year period. India invited US defence companies to come and
support India’s defence manufacturing industry. For its part, the US agreed to
cooperate as a knowledge partner for India’s planned National Defence
University.
Modi reaffirmed India’s commitment to pursuing civil nuclear
energy cooperation with the US and resolving all issues, without specifically
referring to the Nuclear Liability Act. An India-US group would be tasked to
address all outstanding issues and speed up deployment of US-origin nuclear
reactors in India.
He urged Obama to allow the Indian service sector easy
access to the US markets. Both sides had candid talks on the WTO (World Trade
Organisation) negotiations. Modi conveyed to Obama that India supports trade
facilitation as long as India’s food security concerns are taken care of.
Regional and global issues figured prominently in the talks,
too. China, for one, was the proverbial elephant in the room. The details of
their conversations on Washington’s rebalance towards Asia, maritime security
and the global commons are not likely to be made known in a hurry because of
the sensitive nature of the issues involved.
All that Modi ventured to say in the course of a joint press
statement with Obama after the conclusion of their talks was that peace and
security in the Asia-Pacific was of paramount importance and that there was a
convergence of views regarding the region between India and the US. The US, he
was quick to add, was “intrinsic” to India’s Look East Policy.
Significantly, an India-US Joint Statement issued towards
the end of the bilateral talks said that India, the US and Japan would explore
holding their trilateral dialogue at the level of foreign ministers and “work
more closely with other Asia-Pacific countries through consultations,
dialogues, and joint exercises”.
However, it needs to be said here that while the US might
expect India to play a more robust role in East Asia, Modi is handicapped by a
dissonance within India’s strategic community on how to deal with China.
Delivering the 25th late Air Chief Marshal PC Lal Memorial
Lecture in New Delhi on 26 March 2008, the then national security adviser, MK
Narayanan, had said that a “national consensus across the board” was required
on issues such as whether “China is a threat or is China a neighbour that we
can go along with”. Six years later, New Delhi is still none the wiser about
Beijing’s intentions, particularly in light of recent incidents along the
undemarcated border between the two neighbours.
(Even as Modi held talks with US Defence Secretary Chuck
Hagel, the Ministry of External Affairs put out a statement conveying that the
border commanders of India and China had met at Spanggur Gap earlier in the day
and that the stand-off in Chumar and Demchok areas had been successfully
terminated.)
Pakistan came up for discussion in the context of the
challenges posed by terrorism in South Asia and beyond. Deepening and
broadening the counterterrorism and intelligence cooperation was particularly
flagged by Modi. Both sides agreed to work together to disrupt financial and
tactical support for terrorist groups such as Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT),
Jaish-e-Mohammed (JeM), the Haqqani network and Dawood Ibrahim’s D-Company, all
of which are linked to Pakistan. Dawood is wanted in India in connection with
the 1993 Mumbai serial blasts case. India and the US also agreed to collaborate
to dismantle safe havens for terrorist and criminal networks.
In the run-up to the summit meeting, Bruce Riedel, a senior
fellow at the Brookings Institution (a private think-tank in the US) and a
former CIA analyst, had contended in a “India-US policy memo” that
“counterterrorism cooperation with India should include robust intelligence
exchange on Pakistan’s terrorist connections, particularly the ISI-LeT
connection. Another LeT attack like Mumbai or Herat will provoke the most
serious crisis in years between India and Pakistan — the more that can be done
to prevent such a disaster, the better. Even if an attack cannot be foiled, the
more information exchanged about Pakistani involvement with LeT, the more likely
the US will have credibility with New Delhi if a crisis occurs”.
Riedel also said, “The US should also consider a unilateral
step: Placing Pakistan on the State Department list of terrorist sponsor
states. It certainly meets the criteria and has for decades. The first Bush
administration seriously considered this step in 1992. Such a step would
obviously have immense consequences for US-Pakistan relations. A more limited
step would be to target specific sanctions against individual Pakistani
officials involved in supporting terrorism like members of isi’s ‘S’ branch
that handles liaison with let, the Haqqani network, and others. A targeted
counterterrorism sanctions move against specific Pakistani officials would send
a strong deterrent message to the Pakistani Army and could be a warning shot
before putting Pakistan on the terror patron state list.”
And as incidence would have it, the US Treasury Department
on 30 September took action against Harkat ul-Mujahideen (HuM) and the LeT by
naming some individuals associated with them as Specially Designated Global
Terrorists. “Both LeT and HuM are violent terrorist organisations that train
militants and support the activities of many of the best known and brutal
extremist groups, including al-Qaeda,” US Under Secretary for Terrorism and
Financial Intelligence David Cohen said, adding that “today’s designations will
disrupt efforts by these terrorist organisations to access their financial
networks and the international financial system”.
The foreign secretary-level talks between India and Pakistan
were called off last month after the Pakistan high commissioner to India met
with Hurriyat leaders disregarding New Delhi’s objections. Pakistan carried
forward the cold vibes to the UNGA where Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif harped on
Jammu and Kashmir. Modi, uncharacteristically, did not join issue with Sharif,
as some had expected him to do; instead, Modi reiterated India’s position that
it was willing to resume a dialogue with Pakistan so long as those talks are
held in “an atmosphere of peace, without a shadow of terrorism”.
Those developments came close on the heels of Modi inviting
leaders of Pakistan and other SAARC countries for his swearing-in ceremony this
May. A Pakistan-based terrorist group had attacked the Indian consulate in
Herat, Afghanistan, just days before he was sworn in.
Significantly, unlike previous years, the leaders of India
and Pakistan did not meet in New York. Last year, the then prime minister
Manmohan Singh met with his Pakistan counterpart on the margins of the UNGA,
defying public sentiment and in spite of an overwhelming body of evidence of
Pakistan’s complicity in allowing its territory to be used for mounting
terrorist attacks against India and Indian interests, at home and abroad alike.
Incidentally, the history of India-Pakistan bilateral
engagements is replete with an unending series of terrorist attacks
interspersed with peace talks, an overwhelming majority of which were held in
third countries on the margins of multilateral summits.
Last year’s meeting between Manmohan and Sharif in New York
was but one in a long list of bilateral engagements starting with the 2006
Non-Aligned Movement Summit in Havana, Cuba; the 2008 Asia-Europe Meeting in
Beijing, China; the 2008 UNGA session in New York; the 2009 Shanghai
Cooperation Organisation Summit in Yekaterinburg, Russia; the 2009 NAM Summit
in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt; and the 2010 South Asian Association for Regional
Cooperation Summit in Thimphu, Bhutan.
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| Modi at the Madison Square Garden in New York |
Afghanistan was an obvious talking point. India not only
reiterated its commitment to working along with Afghanistan for regional peace
and security but also improving its coordination with the US on Afghanistan.
Modi revealed his mind when he told the Council on Foreign
Relations, an independent think-tank in New York, that he would like the
withdrawal of the US troops from Afghanistan to be “slow” and carried out in a
calibrated manner; otherwise, he felt, Afghanistan could go the Iraq way. He
also said that terrorism was a phenomenon that needed to be tackled globally.
In a related development, on 30 September, the new
government of Afghanistan headed by President Ashraf Ghani signed a
much-delayed bilateral security agreement with the US, which will, among other
things, provide the residual troops, numbering about 12,000, immunity from
criminal prosecution after a majority of the US and NATO forces leave
Afghanistan by the year-end. Riedel argues that the US should “seek to work
with India and Afghanistan” given the fact that India is already increasing its
capabilities in Afghanistan and working closely with the Afghan government.
Modi and Obama also discussed the situation in West Asia.
The US is keen to see India join a ‘coalition’ of 40-odd countries that
supports a US-led campaign against the Islamic State in Syria and Iraq.
However, India has traditionally been averse to taking part in any operation
that is not held under the UN flag.
There is no gainsaying that intent alone will not help to
translate Obama and Modi’s vision for the India-US relationship into reality.
Cold logic will probably dictate and determine the future course of the
bilateral ties.
Modi alluded to it when, in an oblique reference to
irritants in the relationship, he used marriage as a metaphor to point out that
even happily-married couples have fights and maybe there was no need to seek
comfort on all issues in a relationship. “One does not have to be comfortable
about everything. Even between a husband and wife 100 percent comfort is not
possible,” he said, revealing the pragmatic side of his personality.
Modi knows only too well that there are pockets of
resistance even within his own party to issues such as GM crops, FDI in
multi-brand retail, WTO negotiations and an Indian education system modelled on
the US four-year undergraduate programme.
If Obama and Modi succeed in enabling their respective
bureaucracies to overcome the inertia that has bedevilled them for the past few
years, then it should not come as a surprise if both sides make considerable
progress on some of these issues in the coming months. So, going forward,
expect love and heartache in equal measure.
The India-US Joint Statement: Pledges and commitments
• Establish an India-US Investment Initiative with special
focus on capital market development and financing of infrastructure
• Establish an Infrastructure Collaboration Platform to
enhance participation of US companies in infrastructure projects in India
• Have the US industry as the lead partner in developing
smart cities in Ajmer (Rajasthan), Visakhapatnam (Andhra Pradesh) and Allahabad
(Uttar Pradesh)
• Establish an annual high-level Intellectual Property
Working Group with appropriate decision-making and technical-level meetings as
part of the Trade Policy Forum
• Established a Contact Group on advancing the
implementation of civil nuclear energy cooperation
• A new and enhanced strategic partnership on energy
security, clean energy and climate change
• A new US-India Partnership for Climate Resilience
entailing a new programme of work on air quality aimed at delivering benefits
for climate change and human health
• Reinvigorate the political-military dialogue and expand
its role to serve as a wider dialogue on export licensing, defence cooperation
and strategic cooperation
• Enhance exchanges of civilian and military intelligence
and consultation
• Intensify Cooperation in maritime security to ensure
freedom of navigation and unimpeded movement of lawful shipping and commercial
activity; also upgrade their existing bilateral exercise MALABAR
• Reaffirmed their shared interest in preserving regional
peace and stability, which are critical to the Asia-Pacific region’s continued
prosperity; expressed concern about rising tensions over maritime territorial
disputes and affirmed the importance of safeguarding maritime security and
ensuring freedom of navigation and overflight throughout the region, especially
in the South China Sea
Vajpayee and Modi at the UNGA
There are some interesting comparisons between Narendra Modi
and Atal Bihari Vajpayee insofar as their participation in the United Nations
General Assembly (UNGA) debates is concerned. Vajpayee became the first Indian
to speak in Hindi at the 32nd session of the UNGA on 4 October 1977. Vajpayee
was also the first Indian prime minister to speak in Hindi at the Millennium
Summit in 2000. Modi is only the second Indian prime minister to speak in Hindi
at the UNGA. In 1977, the Janata government had been in office for barely six
months. In Modi’s case, the NDA government was only four months old when he
addressed the UNGA.
While Modi chose to focus on yoga, terrorism, climate
change, environment and development, Vajpayee dwelt on the regional situation
in Asia and Africa, including the Israel-Palestine conflict. Vajpayee also
focussed at some length on nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament. He said,
“… we are prepared to cooperate wholeheartedly with other countries in
discussing ways and means of putting an end to the danger of nuclear weapons.
It is both urgent and necessary for the political mind to free itself of
military logic and for the political will to assert the force of reason and
reverse the nuclear arms race in the direction of nuclear disarmament.” Modi,
however, used boilerplate language on disarmament, saying: “Let us continue to
redouble our efforts to pursue universal global disarmament and
non-proliferation.”
Looking in the rearview mirror
It would be instructive to look back at the road travelled
in order to better appreciate the present and future trajectory of the India-US
relationship. India’s engagement with the US over the past 65-odd years divides
itself into three phases. The major phase, spread over the first 50 years,
coincided with the Cold War. That was followed by five years of transition and
then 10 years of a strategic partnership.The first 50 years were ideal because
the world was getting divided into power blocs and the US believed that India
was not really non-aligned and that it was with the Soviet bloc; hence,
everything that the Americans did was coloured with that perception. Also,
since India refused to join the US-led power bloc, it got a backlash in terms
of minimal investments and minimal transfer of technologies. What compounded
the hostility from the US side was the fact that India exploded a nuclear
device in 1974; with that came sanctions on technology transfers and acquisition
of high-technology items.A big thaw came towards the end of Bill Clinton’s term
as US president. Clinton was very fundamentalist on nuclear issues; his policy
was to cap, roll back and eliminate India’s nuclear programme. He was pursuing
it relentlessly and then the 1998 nuclear tests took place. Strobe Talbott, the
then US deputy secretary of state, recalled a furious Clinton asking why the US
agencies could not detect the Indian nuclear tests. Clinton was as angry with
India as he was with his own officials, especially given that the US State
Department came to know about the tests from CNN, and the CIA, in turn, learnt
about the tests from the State Department. Subsequently, further sanctions were
imposed on India.
If one were to identity the lowest point in the India-US
relationship, it would have to be 1998, but oddly enough, it was also to be the
beginning of a new relationship. An 18-month-long dialogue between Talbott and
the then external affairs minister, Jaswant Singh, paved the way for Clinton’s
visit to India in 2000; and the equations changed thereafter.
The India-US strategic partnership was cemented in 2005
after Manmohan Singh visited the US for talks with George W Bush. Both sides
agreed to pursue civil nuclear cooperation and boost their defence ties.
However, there were differences of perception on what this
strategic partnership meant. While the US discussed about the distant future
and shared values, India worried about more immediate problems such as
sanctions; it wanted three specific issues to be resolved before both sides
could start talking about the future. First was transfer of high-technology;
second, nuclear cooperation; and the third was space. A high point in the
bilateral relationship was the signing of the civil nuclear cooperation
agreement in 2008.
However, the years that followed were pretty staid for the
relationship. The 2012 Budget was a lightning rod of sorts for the US
businesses to start criticising India for retrospective taxation, unfriendly
investment conditions and uncertainty about future economic reforms.
Last year, the relations plummeted after Indian diplomat
Devyani Khobragade was strip-searched for allegedly mistreating her maid.
And earlier this year, the National Association of
Manufacturers petitioned the US government and the US Congress that sanctions
be imposed on India for violating its international trade obligations. The US
Trade Representative toyed with the idea of placing India under a special
category of countries, which would have invited mandatory sanctions by the US
Congress. “If that had happened, it would have been like a declaration of war”
against India, said a source tracking India-US ties. “Nothing would have
prevented the countries from drifting further apart.” Fortunately, that was not
to happen.
However, bitterness was building up, mainly from the US
industry side. In India, there was a feeling that under Obama, the urge to
forge a bond with India was not there. Obama was not George W Bush. Bush may
have been criticised for some of his policies but one policy that survived was
his decision to enter into a strategic partnership with India. Some Indians
felt that Obama was not investing in the partnership.
A more charitable view was that Obama was buffeted by crises
at home and abroad, such as the state of the US economy, Arab Spring, Syria,
Afghanistan and Iraq, which contributed to the drift.
Clearly, the fizz had gone out of the relationship.
Will reality bite the diaspora?
Promises have been offered at a dizzying pace, but their
realisation will take its own sweet time
After the euphoria, the hard news. And after the
politician’s extravagant promises, the bureaucrat’s caution. It is
authoritatively learnt that Narendra Modi’s promise to merge the scheme for
Persons of Indian Origin (PIOs) with that for Overseas Citizens of India (OCIs)
will take time to become a reality.
Security establishments will provide their inputs and seek
to plug existing loopholes before going full steam with the merger. Apart from
the security establishment, the Bureau of Immigration will look closely into
the implications that the merger may entail.
There are certain other vital areas as well. The merger, it
has been clarified, will not lead to dual citizenship anytime in the near
future. Diplomatic circles aver that the issue of dual citizenship is not only
nettlesome but has dangerous ramifications in a South Asian context, what with
PIOs abounding in countries such as Nepal and Sri Lanka, a situation fraught
with complications.
As things stand, PIO cards are given to those Indians who
have been residing abroad for no less than two generations. On the other hand,
OCI cards are given to those abroad of more recent vintage.
Other specifics include the fact that while PIOs get visas
for a specific timeframe and have to currently go through some bother of
visiting the Foreigner Regional Registration Office or the police to extend
visas, an OCI card is enough for its holder to enter the country for an
undefined period of time.
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| Modi meeting members of the Indian-American community |
PIOs will be hopeful that once the two schemes are merged,
they could also avail visa-free travel in India, residential rights and
participation in business activities.
The merger scheme has a history — the upa government in its
second term promised to deliver the goods but failed. The upa scheme has now
come in handy for Modi, if and when it is implemented.
Attractive as the OCI is, existing rules stipulate that the
OCI registration certificate and visa have to be reissued every time a new
passport is acquired, up to the completion of 20 years of age and once after
50.
When it was introduced nine years ago, the OCI card was
touted as proof of the government’s seriousness about wooing the diaspora.
People were pushed to give up the PIO card as OCI was considered PIO-plus. The
lifelong duration promise was tantalisingly dangled even at that time.
Additionally, other than allowing the holding of
agricultural property and granting the vote, it put OCI cardholders at par with
Indian citizens. It sounded like a dream scenario for non-residents, but it
never got implemented. Further, OCI applications have to be sent to India, and
for Washington, the processing time has been given as 90 days. In practical
terms, an OCI cardholder is effectively without an Indian visa for three months
minimum as far as Indian-Americans are concerned.
There has been a demand that the OCI card can be a
standalone document without the need for another visa stamp in the passport. An
OCI costs $475 and the hope being expressed is that at least the hugely
convoluted process has been jettisoned, as promised by Modi.
There is optimism that the US will make a reciprocal gesture
and offer India membership in its ‘Global Entry’ traveller network. The US does
provide the facility to citizens of a clutch of countries such as Canada, South
Korea and Mexico.
By the time the Pravasi Bharatiya Divas is held in January
2015 — this time in Gandhinagar, Gujarat — the euphoria of Modi’s US
proclamation will no doubt have died down. The diaspora, with its entitlement
attitude, may have discovered that the ubiquitous red tape is preventing
instant gratification of the type they are so used to in the West.
Incidentally, embassies and consulates across the world are
propagating the event thus: “Since 2015 marks the hundredth anniversary of the
return of the greatest ‘pravasi’ of all, Mahatma Gandhi from South Africa, it
is desired that Pravasi Bharatiya Divas would be celebrated in a grand way.”
Whether those who went abroad in determined pursuit of material wealth would
have any time for Gandhi’s message of “simple living, high thinking” will be
interesting to touch.
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